Keeping Track

One of the things that captures my attention in the election season is the Electoral College map, and the projections based on polling data. In my virtual travels, I have found the following sites, each with a slightly different slant and/or methodology for compiling data and making prediction. I suspect that readers of this site might find this of interest.

All of the sites provide analysis of Senate races, in addition to the Presidential contest.

 

Electoral Vote dot com     Electoral-Vote.com

I followed this site in 2004 and 2006.  A left leaning libertarian, the "Votemaster" here focuses on state by state polling.  The interactive map gives a lot of interesting information in mouse-over animations. 

 

Five Thirty Eight dot com
This site is run by a couple of Democrats, and appears to be based on just about any poll they can get their hands on, with weighting assigned based on historical accuracy.  I particularly like the analysis of swing states, which includes a "Return on invenstment index",  a ratio of a given state's potential for changing the outcome, to the number of voters.  Oregon has consistently been in the top 15 on this list.

 

Election Projection dot com  ElectionProjection.com
This site is unabashedly right-wing.  I find it interesting that the predictions here are consistently more favorable to Republicans.  It is also worth noting that you must pay for a subscription for the more detailed analysis (while the other sites accept dontations, but don't limit access if you don't.)  Still, a little balance is a good thing, especially when our numbers are so strong that they can't tweak them enough to show McCain ahead.

 

 

And another cool one